Over the weekend, the Mercury News came out with their first mayoral election poll and there were a few surprises as well as a few non-surprises. I feel that the fact that 37 percent of voters are still undecided is a great sign. That shows me that people really want to hear what all the candidates have to say and aren’t just voting for the name they know or the person from their district. I hope it is because they are reserving judgment until the end and it’s not a sign of apathy or disgust. And then, there is the question of how reliable these polls really are.
What is surprising is that, with all the endorsements that Cindy Chavez has, she only holds a 1 percent lead on Dave Cortese, and the other candidates are not far behind. What does this mean? Are people starting to see through Chavez? Are people becoming more involved as voters and not just looking at who is endorsing whom—and why? I believe that, as someone who gives empty promises, Chavez is part of the problem at City Hall and I hope the San Jose voters are becoming wise to this.
Then there is the fact that Cortese holds the highest number of votes with the wealthy folks. I thought that Mulcahy—with his Ken-doll hair, nice suits and winning personality, coupled with his propensity to hang out with well-to-do types—would have had a stranglehold on this category. However, he holds the highest number of middle class votes, which I thought would go to Pandori. But then again, Pandori is very popular with women; maybe women want to see someone strong who goes after the current administration. Or, maybe, they see something appealing in Pandori taking a stand. At any rate, I am glad to see that women aren’t just supporting Chavez because she is the same gender.
Pandori, who is last in the polls, would probably tell you himself that he expected it, since he came into the race so late. The real question is: does he have the money and the time to make up those points and sway enough undecided voters his way?
The majority of voters will probably wait until they see all the TV ads before they make their decisions. So the next few weeks will become just that much more interesting….