By the Numbers: 39 Percent

39 percent

Union-backed pollsters marketed the results of their first publicized survey in the San Jose mayor’s race as proof that their pick, Dave Cortese, has an early lead with 19 percent approval. But the number that really matters is 39 percent, the rate of respondents who haven’t yet decided who to support in the race to succeed Mayor Chuck Reed, who terms out at the end of the year.

Madison Nguyen finished second in the poll with 15 percent but held just a 6-point edge on Cortese with Asian voters. Sam Liccardo garnered 10 percent approval for third, despite not having a lead in any demographic subgroup. Pierluigi Oliverio had 8 percent of respondents’ support, Rose Herrera came in fifth with 6 percent.

EMC Research surveyed 407 likely June voters with a margin of error of 4.9 percent.


  1. Cliff, your math is flawed. — 61% were decided voters, and 19% is not a majority of that, much less an overwhelming majority.
    PS, I’m for Cortese.

  2. Sorry, I went to Rocketship academy and Chuck Reed’s advanced school of mathematics where any majority of anything must be categorized as “overwhelming” and hey, I’m not alone. The Mercury News agrees with my education and logic, overwhelmingly.

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